Gold & Silber-Preis-Entwicklung 

Diese Seite beschreibt die zukünftige Entwicklung der Gold- und Silberpreise.
Bitte sehen Sie dazu auch den Artikel "Goldpreis-Szenarien".

Enthält alle Einträge ab dem 1.7.2007 bis 31-12-2007.
Alte Seiten von 2006 hierher auslagert, alte Seiten vom 1.1.2007 bis 30.6.2007 sind hier,
 

Neu 2007-12-29:

Selbst die Banken in Österreich sehen schon Gold über $1000:

Networld.at: "Goldige" Aussichten im kommenden Jahr: Edelmetall mit großem Aufwärtspotenzial

Gold dürfte im kommenden Jahr neben Agrarrohstoffen das größte Aufwärtspotenzial besitzen. Der Preis für eine Feinunze Gold (31,1 Gramm) wird 2008 höchstwahrscheinlich erstmals in seiner Geschichte die 1.000-Dollar-Marke überschreiten und somit in den vierstelligen Bereich vorstoßen. "Sinkende Zinsen, hohe Inflation und volatile Aktienmärkte sind für den Goldpreis das allerbeste Umfeld", so der Goldexperte der Erste Bank, Ronald Stöferle.

Schau, schau. Und die Agrarrohstoffe = noch viel mehr Lebensmittel-Inflation.
 

Die "Insider" verlassen die Goldpreis-Drückung (aus dem Midas vom 28. Dez):

It was GATA's contention that when Rothschilds withdrew from the gold Fixing ring in London, it was because they knew what lie ahead re the price and of potential severe market problems due to the short position of The Gold Cartel. The following email from a fellow Café member opened my eyes a bit more:

In the back of my cluttered mind the issue of the Rothschild selling off their position in setting the price of Gold in England keeps bothering me. They made a billion a year off of that job. These guys just do not throw away money. There was something else that looked better.

As a functionary in the setting of the gold price, I read that they could go only short. At the time gold was pretty flat so no one really ran with this situation for more than a day or two. I might have missed something.

Anyhow, the Rothachilds have had gold in their veins for over 700 years. I would bet that they are the best leading indicator of what will happen to gold. The issue of finding out what they were doing could be tough, but with your contacts it might be worth exploring. When gold explodes someone has to have gold to sell to the stupid central bankers that have leased all of theirs out, with no return address. I'll bet the Rothschild will be to the rescue, but will make a huge fortune in the process as fiat money fails everywhere.

So why get into this again? Two MAJOR reasons:

*The abrupt decision by AngloGold to close out all their hedges next year.

*The desertion of the TOCOM short position by Goldman Sachs (see Adrian below).

Rothschilds, AngloGold, Goldman Sachs … they are the insiders, the ones with the political, insider information connections, etc. The price of gold has more than doubled since Rothschilds left the business because there was "no future in it." Now it is time for AngloGold and Goldman to get out of Dodge because they know the price of gold is going to double again and they have to extricate themselves from their short positions and Gold Cartel activities as fast as possible.

I like to think the GATA camp knows the gold market better than anyone else out there EXCEPT for The Gold Cartel camp. Those crooks know what they have done, why, and what is coming price-wise as they run out of enough available central bank gold to keep their suppression scheme going and viable.

Gold shorts beware: first it was Rothschilds, now it is AngloGold and Goldman Sachs. Do you want to fade them? … not by what they say, but by what they do?

"Getting out of Dodge": dort wo die Kugeln fliegen: vor 3 Jahren Rothschild, jetzt Goldman Sachs und AngloGold. Rothschild war immer früh dran. Goldman Sachs ist als Wall Street Finanzhaus immer bei der Herde dabei, aber cleverer als die anderen Schafe. Sie covern jetzt ihre Gold-Shorts wie wild. Ein weiterer Gold-Hedger fällt um: Anglogold. Genau, man muss sich ansehen was sie tun, nicht was sie sagen.

Sie alle wollen den Kugeln eines hohen Goldpreises entkommen.

Neu 2007-12-23:

Von David Galland in Casey's Roomprint:

Oh, on That Gold Thing
Last week... “the Federal Reserve announced the biggest coordinated central bank action since Sept. 11, 2001, amid concern surging money-market rates and estimates of $400 billion in losses linked to U.S. subprime mortgages will slow economic growth.” (Bloomberg). This week... “the European Central Bank added an unprecedented $500 billion to the banking system.” (Bloomberg).

Today... “the sterling hit an all-time low versus the euro as expectations of a UK interest rate cut on the back of a slowing economy led investors to sell the currency. “The pound held near its lowest level in more than a year and a half on a trade-weighted basis as news on Wednesday that the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee was
unanimous on this month's rate cut firmed investor conviction that more monetary easing is imminent.” (Reuters)
[Ed. Note: It was also reported this week that the bailout of Britain’s Northern Rock bank alone is already up to £2,000 per citizen.]

Also today… “The Federal Reserve will conduct biweekly emergency auctions of loans as ’long as necessary’' as part of a global attempt by central bankers to restore faith in the money markets.” (Bloomberg)

Make no mistake, the world’s central banks are in a race to the bottom. While speaking out of one side of their mouths about the need for a strong currency, the central bankers are holding whispered conversations out of the other that go something like this…...
“Well, even if our currency sells off, at least it will make our industry more competitive against the (select one, depending on your nationality) o bloody Yanks o Brits o Euro-zoners o Chinese o Other.”

If there is one absolute in this world, it is that humankind will always look to its own needs first. A central banker or government official in Britain is not going to deliberately take an action they think will put their economy at a disadvantage to the global competition, or which will result in their name finding its way into the history books as the disgraced dolt running things just ahead the Greater Depression of 2008 – 2011.

The floodgates of money-from-nowhere are wide open and will only open wider as the perceived need dictates. Inflation is here, and it’s here to stay.

Falls wirklich noch jemand glaubt, dass der Goldpreis mit diesen Zentralbank-Injektionen massiv sinken wird...

Ausserdem hat einen Zeitrahmen für die "Greater Depression" angegeben: 2008-2011.

Neu 2007-12-17:

Die Gold-Bugs lachen zuletzt:

MarketWatch: Gold's odd price move

GoldMoney's James Turk this past published his FreeMarket Gold & Money Report's 2008 predictions: "Gold will see $1,500, and close the year at $1,200 - $1,300."

We can laugh, but the gold bugs have been winning the argument since gold made its low early in the decade.

Dem "System" ist das Lachen schon vergangen, den Manipulatoren wird es auch bald vergehen. Nur die Gold-Bugs sind auf der Gewinner-Strasse.

Neu 2007-12-16:

Die Chinesen kaufen Gold:

Goldprice: Chinese Billionaires to Buy up Gold

Buy gold is the cry from Chinese Billionaires! Many of Chinese wealthiest investors are selling off their shares and are about to invest almost 68 billion dollars into gold according to a top fund manager.

Besser noch die Chinesen als die Araber. Der Westen ist zu dumm dazu.

Neu 2007-12-02:

Der unfehlbare Gold-Indikator von James Turk:

Kitco: Gold's Infallible Indicator - Six Months Later

Over the years, this indicator has been one of my favorites. It has been so good that I call it “gold’s infallible indicator”. True to form, this indicator is still scoring 100%.

So from time to time, the gold cartel enlists anti-gold publications that favor fractional reserve banking, fiat national currency, and managed money through the central banking elite. The Economist is all of those, with the result that it sits at the top of the gold cartel’s list of friendly rags. When the gold cartel is losing control, they invariably turn to The Economist, which then dutifully spins out some disparaging piece on gold, but to no avail. Eventually the market always overwhelms government price controls. It is an unalterable reality that price controls always fail eventually, even government price controls on gold.

So my conclusion is the same as the one I wrote about six months ago. “When reading about gold in The Economist, do it with a jaundiced eye, understanding that its foremost objective is to disparage gold. More importantly, when this infallible indicator flashes a buy signal, start buying.”

Interessant, wie dieses "Wichtige Magazin" so falsch liegen kann. Aber es Teil des Goldkartells. Nicht den Medien vertrauen!

Im Moment ist zwar beim Economist nicht Gold "dran", sondern der Dollar: Magazine cover curse may save U.S. dollar yet again

Als kann es beim Dollar nur aufwärts gehen, oder?

Neu 2007-11-29:

Die "Goldzitterer" als Investment-Indikator (Leserzuschrift AT):

Ich muss mich jetzt auch mal über die "Goldzitterer" auslassen.
Gestern habe ich schon gehofft das dieser von vielen als Barometer der eigenen Investitionsüberzeugtheit angesehene "Dollar"-Goldpreis noch weiter gedrückt wird.

Leider waren die PPT's gestern schon zu schwach dazu.

Ich habe mir folgendes zur Angewohnheit gemacht.
Jedes Mal wenn der Silber/Goldpreis so weit runtergeht dass auf Hartgeld.com die "Jammermails" der "Goldzitterer" publiziert werden, zieh ich mir die Jacke an.
Dann frag ich meinen Chef ob er mich eine halbe Stunde entbehren kann und geh zum Münzhändler für ein paar Silberlinge und zur Münze Österreich um einen Philharmoniker.

UND NOCH KEIN EINZIGES MAL WAR AM NÄCHSTEN TAG DER GOLD/SILBER PREIS NIEDRIGER ALS AM TAG MEINER EINKÄUFE!!

An alle "Goldzitterer": Bitte schickt weiter Eure Mails an Herrn Eichelburg, wenn es weh tut.
Und an Herrn Eichelburg: Bitte publizieren Sie immer einige davon, damit ich weiß wann es wieder Zeit ist nachzukaufen.

Clever! Leider sind solche "Indikatoren" bei mir mit Arbeit verbunden.

Neu 2007-11-21:

Gold ist noch EXTREMST billig:

Aus dem MIDAS vom 20. Nov:

JOHN WILLIAMS' SHADOW GOVERNMENT STATISTICS

FLASH UPDATE November 19, 2007

Inflation-Adjusted (SGS)Peak Gold Price Is $6,030

Gold Price Still Well Shy of Inflation-Adjusted Peak. At subscriber request, we are publishing estimates of the January 1980 gold price peak (London afternoon fix) of $850.00 per troy ounce in terms of today's dollar. The thinking behind the request was that since central bank intervention and manipulation have been used to depress the price of gold over time, what could have been expected in terms of the current gold price if inflation were truly and fully reflected.

As can be determined using the Inflation Calculator referenced in the opening note, inflation-adjusted peak gold would be $2,283 per troy ounce based on October 2007 CPI dollars, and $6,030 per troy ounce in terms of October 2007 SGS-Alternate CPI dollars. The suggestion is that the price of gold still faces some catch-up.

Da kann man wirklich nur sagen: der "Welt-Geldbetrug". Die $850 von Jan 1980 entsprechen in heutiger US-Kaufkraft über $6000 und nicht $2283 wie "offiziell" angegeben.

Also: unter $6000/oz hat der Goldpreis immer noch nicht den Peak von 1980 erreicht!
 

Da ist Feuer unter dem Goldmarkt:

Aus dem MIDAS vom 16. Nov:

Something to keep in mind regarding the MIDAS headline today. Our STALKER source called and said he might have his busiest day EVER regarding selling physical bullion. TWO PRIVATE BANKS bought $1 million each and have more to go. This sort of buying, for so many obvious reasons to do so, is what can propel gold up $100 in a week, or something close to it.

STALKER ist ein amerikanischer Goldhändler. Sein umsatzstärkster Tag bis jetzt. Offenbar lässt jetzt das Big Money in den USA alles Gold und Silber zusammensuchen, was es noch gibt. $100 Anstieg in einer Woche - das könnten wir brauchen und ist realistisch - ist aber auch das Systemende.

Neu 22007-11-11:

Doug Casey zur Goldpreis-Entwicklung:

Aus dem aktuellen "Roomprint" auf www.caseyresearch.com:

On the topic of “is this it”?
"This is the big one. We've been waiting for this for so long, and now it's finally here.
"People forget that the U.S. has had a 25-year economic boom – the bust has to be as big.
And I hate to say it, but there's a good case to be made that central banks have been
suppressing the price of gold, exacerbating the necessary economic correction. Gold will
be even more volatile, but this is it.”

With gold running up so far, so fast, should people be buying now?
"I hate chasing markets, but this one is going to be so powerful, it's going to surprise
everyone. As I have been saying, gold isn't just going through the roof; it's going to the
moon. So buy.
“ETFs are the easiest way to buy large quantities of gold. In addition, if you know what
you are doing and are cautious, buying out of the money calls can also work out well.”

What about other currencies?
"Look, why is the loonie trading at $1.08? It's just as much a piece of toilet paper as the
U.S. dollar. It's because they don't have trillions of the things outside their country in the
hands of foreigners who don't want them anymore. Foreign central banks are finally
dumping dollars in a big way. I think most central bankers know that all paper ’money‘ is
trash – IOU nothings – even if they'll never admit it. The only place for them to go is
gold. They're going to stop selling and start buying.”

Has the mania phase begun?
"No; the man on the street is not involved yet. But he could be soon – and he will be,
probably sooner rather than later.
"I'm personally massively long gold and gold stocks, and I recommend the same to
everyone. The easy money has been made, but big money lies directly ahead."

Kurze Zusammenfassung:
Er meint, dass der "grosse Crash des Systems" (the big one) begonnen hat.
Gold geht nicht nur durch die Decke, sondern bis zum Mond.
Die manische Phase hat noch nicht begonnen, da der Mann auf der Strasse noch nicht involviert ist.
Er selbst ist "massiv long" Gold-Metall und Minenaktien und empfiehlt es allen anderen auch.

Doug Casey kann einen phänomalen Erfolg als Investor vorweisen. Wenn er das sagt, dann stimmt es.

Neu 2007-11-07:

Kein Wunder, dass der Goldpreis hochschiesst:

Aus dem MIDAS vom 6. Nov:

My contact within the Istanbul Gold Exchange has told me that the exchange itself is "running" out of physical at breakneck speeds. So much so that they have started to solicit major and mid tier gold mining companies world wide with the hope of securing some more physical before the markets get wind of it. Says quite a bit, doesn’t it, when the world’s 3rd largest importer of gold is scrambling to find physical to meet the massive demand coming out of that area. I smell a commercial signal failure around the corner.....

Von Istanbul geht das Gold in den arabischen Raum und selbst der Goldbörse geht das Gold aus.

Die Scheichs sorgen schon vor (Leserzuschrift, von der Systemkrise-Seite übernommen):

Ich hatte heute ein Gespräch mit einem Bekannten der in einem Wertpapierhandelshaus in Dubai arbeitet. Da die Aktien-, Bondmärkte weder steigen, noch fallen sondern eigentlich seit einigen Wochen quer laufen, der Dollar total verfällt und die Edelmetalle ungebremst steigen, fragte ich Ihn als Profi was er davon hält.
Er teilte mir mit das die Scheichs, zwar keine Dollars auf den Markt werfen, aber er den Auftrag hat alles Gold das auf dem Markt auftaucht in Dollar zu kaufen. Das selbe gilt für Aktien von ausgesuchten Unternehmen (auch in den USA) aber keine Staatsanleihen.

Das könnte eine Erklärung sein, warum Gold kein Halten mehr kennt und die Aktien nicht signifikant abstürzen weil die großen Dollarhalter die wertlos werdenden Dollars gegen alles tauschen was zu bekommen ist (Edelmetalle und Aktien) außer Staatsanleihen.

Sollten nicht wir das Gleiche machen? Ludwig von Mises hat das "die Flucht in die Sachwerte" genannt!

PS: diese Zuschrift wurde von mir übersetzt auch im Midas veröffentlicht - damit es die Welt weiss.

Neu 2007-11-04:

Noch mehr "gute" Gold-Berichte:

Abendblatt: Die Renaissance des Goldes

Immer mehr Sparer laufen zur Bank und kaufen Barren und Münzen. Die Angst geht um - vor Geldentwertung und Finanzkapriolen. Und eine Ende des Booms ist nicht abzusehen.

Doch den Kunden, mit denen Stefan Rose, Leiter des Goldhandels bei der Haspa, täglich zu tun hat, sind ein paar Prozentpunkte nicht so wichtig. "Die Leute sagen mir: ,Ich lese in der Zeitung, was mit den Immobilien in Amerika passiert, dass die Menschen in England vor Bankfilialen Schlange stehen, um ihr Geld abzuziehen'", erzählt Rose. "Gerade in den vergangenen drei, vier Monaten hat die Nachfrage nach Barren und Münzen noch einmal einen deutlichen Schub bekommen. Bei der Menge des verkauften Goldes haben wir das Vorjahresniveau schon jetzt deutlich überschrittenund zum Jahresende zieht das Geschäft üblicherweise noch einmal an, denn Gold wird zu Weihnachten gern verschenkt." Besonders häufig gefragt seien derzeit Barren von 20, 50 oder 100 Gramm und die Krügerrand-Münze von einer Unze. Dabei geht es nicht nur um kleine Summen: "10 000 Euro sind ein gängiger Betrag", sagt Rose. "Geschäfte oberhalb von 100 000 Euro finden regelmäßig statt."

Ein Händler einer anderen Bank berichtet von einem Kunden, der am Tag der Nachricht über die Probleme bei der IKB Bank das komplette Geld auf seinem Girokonto in Gold umtauschte und dieses dann in einen Tresor packte. Nur tiefe Verunsicherung, ja Angst treibt zu solchen Handlungen.

Solche Berichte sind für das System extrem gefährlich! Denn sie produzieren Nachahmer!

Neu 2007-11-02:

Gold auf $806/oz:

Eine wichtige Etappe ist geschafft.

Der Goldpreis ist an einem Tag (sogar an einem Freitag) von ca. $790 auf $806 hochgefahren und dort stehen geblieben. Es sieht aus, als hätte das Goldkartell bei seinen Drückungsversuchen total versagt.

Die hatten sicher den Auftrag, einen Durchbruch der psychologisch wichtigen $800 Grenze mit allen Mitteln zu verhindern, besonders ein Close über $800. Bei der $700-Grenze konnten sich sich noch recht lange wehren, jetzt nicht mehr.

Gleichzeitig ist der US-Dollar-Index in einem Tag von $76.70 auf $76.21 drastisch gefallen (alles unter 80 ist sehr gefährlich). Das lässt darauf schliessen, dass das Finanzsystem gerade in die "Todeszone" eintritt und eine Flucht des "Big Money", besonders aus dem US-Dollar begonnen hat.

Jim Sinclair setzt jetzt die nächste grössere Korrektur beim Goldpreis für $1050 an.

Die nächste psychologisch wichtige Marke ist der bisherige Höchstwert von $850 im Januar 1980. Dabei wird das Medienecho noch grösser werden und weiteres Geld in das Gold ziehen. Nach offiziellen US-Inflationstatistiken entspricht dieser Wert etwa $2100, real aber um $4000. Das heisst, der Goldpreis ist immer noch sehr niedrig, aber ein steigender Goldpreis wird die Zinsen wie 1979 mit hochziehen, was das System dann "umbringt". Dann gibt es keine Grenze mehr nach oben. Rechnen Sie mit $50'000 am Höhepunkt (Euro gibt es dann keinen mehr).

Bloomberg drückt es sehr schön aus: Gold Tops $800 on Investor Demand for Haven From U.S. Assets

Gold als sicherer Hafen auf der Flucht vor allen US-Assets - das ist desastriös für die USA, aber wahr.

Die letzten Chancen in Gold- und Silbermetall einzusteigen, dürften jetzt sein. Das System ist jetzt in höchster Gefahr!

Neu 2007-11-01:

Zum Silberpreis aus der "Übersetzungsmaschine von Goldseiten":

Adam Hamilton: Silber hinkt Gold hinterher

Silber wird sich in der Endphase besser entwickeln als Gold - weil sich die meisten Leute dann Gold nicht mehr leisten können. Abwarten.
Für alle, die sich beklagen, dass auf hartgeld.com zu wenige Silber-Informationen sind.

PS: einen kürzlich eingereichten Artikel von mir hat Goldseiten aber nicht publiziert - man muss offenbar Amerikaner sein.
 

Larry Edelson zu Gold $800/oz:

They called it "a relic of the past."
They described its last major price surge as an "anomaly."
They said it would "never hit $800 again."
They were talking about gold.

And they were wrong.

Yesterday, exactly 54 minutes and 17 seconds past 2 P.M. Eastern Time, an event took place that even the most skeptical of investors cannot — and must not — ignore: The December contract for gold bullion surpassed the $800 mark.

Braucht man noch Beweise? "kann nicht" und "darf nicht"? haha! Gold hat es doch getan!

Neu 2007-10-31:

Da braut sich an der COMEX etwas zusammen (aus dem Midas vom 29. Okt):

Adrian notes:
The corollary to that is the ONLY thing that matters. The physical gold is MASSIVELY OVER-PROMISED. With 13 million ozs being controlled via Call options in DEC where the OI refuses to go down one month from expiry and a COMEX OI in the futures market where contracts for 50 million ozs are held for the DEC contract, the shorts have promised massive amounts of gold they don't have. If Jon Nadler is thinking these very determined long holders are going to cut and run he doesn't understand the concept of a short squeeze.
The Cartel has had their opportunity to turn the longs into sellers and it has failed every time. "Over-bought" is a concept that only applies to speculators, it has no relevance for big money concerns who want gold. The fact the price has gone up makes them want it more!

Wenn diese Futures-Long und Call-Option Halter im Dezember alle Metall wollen (sie gehen nicht heraus)...dann zerlegt sich das System. Auch wenn Gold aus "technischer Sicht" im Moment "überkauft" ist.

Dankschreiben an GATA/Midas von einem neuen "Gold-Millionär":

Bill,
Well it finally happened: with yesterday’s close, the wife and I are now gold millionaires. All assets are in gold bullion or shares and yesterday they closed at a little over $1,000,000. And it is all thanks to you and GATA.

I bought my first bullion in 1998 (cashed out a 401K) and started lurking at the various gold sites. I then learned of you and in the late nineties subscribed to the Café. I lapsed and picked back up a year or so later (not sure of the dates). But the point is that since 1998 I have been in gold and since 1999 I have been very aware of you and the GATA message. You have kept me focused and aware of information published NO WHERE ELSE! But for you Bill, I would have liquidated long ago and have missed this great bull market. But for you Bill and I mean that with all sincerity. You and GATA have directly, materially benefited my hopes, dreams and aspirations.

All funds have been invested in gold and related assets and I have received a 25% return for the last seven years. And yes, I took great satisfaction from taking the Cabals money and using it to help fight the fight with the other Zulus. In amounts ranging from $50.00 to $50,000, I have been patiently and carefully buying TGLDX, ECU, TRE, SAMEX and adding to the bullion stash. All thanks to "Wild Bill Murphy" and the GATA crew.

So thank you. We are long and strong and looking forward to our next million.

Gratulation! Er hat es richtig gemacht: seine Papier-Altersvorsorge (401K) in Gold/Minenaktien umgewandelt - gleich zu Beginn.

Ich hoffe, ich darf auch hier bald einigen Gold-Millionären durch Hartgeld.com zum Erfolg gratulieren (und bekomme Dankschreiben dafür). Nicht vergessen, die 1. Million ist die Schwierigste, die weiteren Millionen kommen dann leicht - wenn man bis zum Höhepunkt drinnen bleibt.

PS: Silber-Millionär zu werden ist etwas arbeitsaufwändiger - aber noch profitabler.

Neu 2007-10-28:

Leserzuschrift zum Goldpreis in EUR:

Zur Bildung des Goldpreises hätte ich folgende Frage:

Da das Gold ja in Dollar gehandelt wird und wir im Euro-Raum leben, wäre der Goldpreis für die Euro-Länder z. Zt. ja noch höher, wenn der Dollar nicht so schwach wäre.

Wie ist es im Falle eines noch stärkeren Dollareinbruchs und der damit verbundenen Aufwertung des Euro. Hier müsste der Goldpreis im Euroland ja dementsprechend stark fallen?

Abwarten: derzeit steigt der Goldpreis primär in USD. Aber wenn es den Euro zerreist, kennt der Goldpreis auch in Euro keine Grenzen nach oben mehr.
Dann wird der Goldpreis $50'000/oz oder mehr erreichen - Euro gibt es dann keinen mehr.

PS: Seit August ist das Systemende klar: durch Flucht aus dem Papier-System in Realwerte.
 

Tabelle der Rohstoffpreise von Casey Research in USD:

Hier sieht man sehr schön, welche Rohstoffe "Geldcharakter" haben, also primär Gold, sekundär Öl.
Mit den anderen Rohstoffen ist in einer Krise nicht so viel Geld zu machen.

PS: sehen Sie Uran, das Spekulationsobjekt der letzten Zeit - ist massiv gesunken.

In der selben Publikation von Ed Steer:

I can't remember the last time that the gold price was up more than 2% in a single day, but it's been a very long time indeed, as gold was up $16.50 on Friday. As a result of this, most gold shorts are now deeply under water. As I said on Thursday, nobody should be surprised when Friday's O.I. report shows that the Commercials went short even more. They did; up another 11,860 contracts. The new O.I. record total is now 505,224. I await Friday's O.I. change with eager anticipation.

The Commitment of Traders report issued on Friday at 3:30 New York time showed something very surprising. Some of the traders in the Commercial category (not the Gold Cartel) are not only going long in larger numbers, but covering short positions as well. Opposite them in the Non-Commercial/Large Speculator category, the longs took some serious profits and also increased their net short position at the same time. It appears that the non-Cartel Commercials (who do not have the Gold Cartel's deep pockets) are being forced to cover their shorts. If this is the case, then we could see gold rise significantly as the non-Cartel shorts head for the hills. Let's see what happens on Monday.

Despite gold's stunning rise in price during the last four trading days, the shares did not join in the fun as much as one would expect. This has happened before, and there are dark rumblings by some commentators over at Bill Murphy's LeMetropoleCafe.com, that "someone is foolin' with Miss Kitty over at the HUI Saloon." It wouldn't be the first time that's happened, either.

Gold +2% in einem Tag (an das werden wir uns gewöhnen müssen). Das Goldkartell verhindert noch den grossen Ausbruch, indem es unglaublich Short an der Comex ist, diee anderen Commercials gehen schon Long.

Neu 2007-10-27:

Der Midas vom 26. Okt. jubelt:

HIGH FIVE!!! (Adrian Douglas)

When I checked the gold price this morning it was 777…I wondered to myself, "Is this the day we hit the jackpot?" What a great day for our camp! ALL SHORTS everywhere on the planet are deep under-water. The massive Call option position in DEC hasn’t flinched all the way up which I think adds considerable credence to my hypothesis that some very big money has taken on the cartel. They know exactly the cartel play book….the Cartel will ALWAYS defend a strike price that has a high open interest in the calls by selling short in the futures market. So by taking the massive Call option positions the Big Money interests knew they would get their hands on a high volume of futures contracts at a bargain price.

The bait was set, the trap is sprung. The biggest short squeeze in history is now in play. I don’t see any solution for the shorts but to cover or deliver. They have been out smarted and out gunned. After 30 years of owning this market, making this market do what they wanted it to do they are probably suffering from shell-shock. They may be foolish enough to think that they are not defeated and try to sell short again and try to bail out the trapped shorts, but the most cost effective thing to do is to realize this is WATERLOO!. The Cartel has never been able to control this market on their own; they always required the cartel groupies to follow their lead. The groupies have their fingers of their right hands caught in the mangle…I wonder what will persuade them to insert their left hands too! (PS: I thought long and hard before deciding on which bits of the anatomy to employ in this metaphor!).

Will das Goldkartell jetzt auch noch die andere Hand in den Fleischwolf stecken? Es ist deren Waterloo!

This is the sort of day many of us have been looking to see for some time. In the future there will be many more like them.

Ja, auf diesen Tag haben wir schon lange gewartet. Und es werden noch viele davon kommen!

Das "Gold-Sentiment" wird sich auch noch verbessern:

It's not that sentiment is abysmal regarding gold; I can imagine that people are not going to Investment Conferences because they have taken a severe licking and - invest? With what? Pay for admission - with what?

Gold was for a time a kind of plaything, people did not take it seriously; stocks and speculation of all sorts, that they took seriously. But not gold - they went to gold conferences for kicks, so to speak.

The low mood you see today, in my opinion responds to rapidly deteriorating economic status of lots and lots of people. Perhaps a lot of people are staying away to avoid having to face the fact that - they didn't pay attention when they should have. Sorry about that! The Depression - dare I say it - has arrived.

Gold is now a matter of life and death for those who can still invest. Rogers is telling us what he is doing. Gold is not a "goldbug fetish" any longer!

The last laugh will be ours.
Best regards, your friend Hugo

Wahre Worte: die Leute willen die Realität (Depression) einfach nicht sehen.
Gold ist jetzt eine Sache von "Leben und Tod" - für die, die noch immer investieren können

Ein neues, goldenes Zeitalter hat begonnen!

Neu 2007-10-22:

Chinesen, Araber, Inder kaufen das Gold auf:

ChinaDaily: China may import more gold
Neftegas.ru: Gold Sales Soared 40 pct in UAE

Die alle werden sich über den gerade inzenierten Kamikaze-Preiseinbruch aber freuen:

Leserzuschrift dazu:
hoffentlich verliert keiner der Edelmetallanleger heute die Nerven. Das Szenario im Goldpreis sieht momentan aus, wie das letzte große Aufgebot zur Rettung. Ich vermute eine Aktion der G-7 dahinter, die brauchen heute ein Erfolgserlebnis. Alle EZB Regierungen in Europa haben heute sicher einen nicht geringen Teil ihrer Goldbestände geopfert. Das Ergebnis, Dollar wieder bei 77,64 und 1,42. Auch eine weitere Flucht aus den sowieso schon trüben Aktienmärkten mußte unbedingt verhindert werden.

Neu 2007-10-16:

Leseranfrage zum Silberpreis:

Heute konnte man wieder einmal beobachten, welche enorme Finanz- und Marktmacht bzgl. der Silber-Drückung besteht. Mit einer Leichtigkeit wurde der Silberpreis von fast 14 auf unter 13,8 runtergedrückt und unten gehalten.

Beim Gold passierte heute – optisch zumindest – nichts.

Wer hält das ganze Silber, welches zur Manipulation verwendet wird? Und wie groß sind diese Reserven? Wieviel muss auf den Markt geschmissen werden, um den Silberpreis dermaßen wie heute zu korrigieren?

Da Silber ja recht gut gefördert wird (wieviel eigentlich pro Tag?) und der Silberpreis ja auch in der Vergangenheit eigentlich nie eine Chance hatte, auszubrechen: Wird er es überhaupt jemals haben? Was denken Sie? Wie lange schätzen Sie, dauert es, bis die Manipulations-Reserven aufgebraucht sind? Kann es sein, dass wenn die Industrie eh irgendwann zusammenbricht und dadurch die Nachfrage seitens dieser wegbricht, dass wir dann mit einer Überflutung von Silber zu rechnen haben, weil der größte Abnehmer lahmgelegt ist? Ich weiß, dass dies evtl. durch eine erhöhte Nachfrage von Privat-Investoren sicherlich aufgehoben werden könnte – aber der derzeitige Anteil zur Verwendung des Silbers zur Münz-Verarbeitung liegt – wenn ich richtig liege – nur bei ca. 5-10% der Gesamtfördermenge.

Eigentlich sollte Silber mehr steigen, weil es weniger davon gibt - aber das kommt noch.
Wieviel es, gibt, etc. kann am besten Ted Butler beantworten. Seine Artikel sind auf www.silverseek.com.
Die Silberpreis-Drückung geschieht ähnlich wie bei Gold, mit Futures an der Comex.

Gold ist das primäre Geld-Metall, daher geht das "Big Money" auch dort hinein - einfach weil es die grössere Wertdichte hat.
Ich persönlich rechne, dass Silber um mindestens 4 mal mehr steigen wird, als Gold, aber später.

Wenn erst einmal das "Dumb Money", d.h. das Volk in Edelmetalle gehen will, wird es feststellen, dass es sich Gold nicht mehr leisten kann. Da bleibt dann nur mehr Silber.

Wie gesagt, mann muss warten können. Und - Geld wird wieder die Hauptanwendung für Silber werden, nicht die Industrie.
Daher: an jedem Gramm Silber festhalten!

Neu 2007-10-15:

Werden die Japaner jetzt zu Goldkäufern?

Telegraph: Japanese send gold through the 'clouds' as it breaches 3,000 yen

Gold has roared to a fresh 28-year high of $756 (£371) an ounce on the fears of global currency disorder and a surge of buying by Japanese investors using exotic trading signals.

Traders reported a sudden of burst of activity on the TOCOM gold futures markets in Tokyo as the price broke through the psychological barrier of 3,000 yen (£12.49) per gramme, the measure used by the Japanese to trade gold.

Irgendwann werden sie mit den mickrigen Zinsen nicht mehr zufrieden sein. In Japan ist richtiges Kapital vorhanden, wenn das zuschlägt...

Neu 2007-10-12:

Sogar der "deflationistische" SWMR empfiehlt jetzt Gold:

Aus dem Safe Wealth Management Report (https://www.safewealthadvisory.com) vom 12. Oktober:

For those who have not yet made a decision to move the recommended minimum of 10% into gold, you should do so immediately, irrespective of price or subsequent trends and gyrations. You should simply buy gold now while it is still +/- $750, before it soars up to if not well above $1,000, even if it might, one day, revisit below $500. If so, that would just present another perfect opportunity to buy some more!

Der SWMR war immer streng auf Prechter-Linie. Noch vor kurzer Zeit hat man ein Absacken des Goldpreises auf unter $300 noch für wahrscheinlich gehalten. Ganz lässt man von diesen Ideen aber immer noch nicht. 10% ist aber sehr wenig! Aber zumindest geben sie jetzt keim Maximum mehr an.

Auch der ORF schreibt schon positiv über Gold:

ORF: Gold mit "Bilderbuchrallye"

Aber ganz glauben sie es immer noch nicht - zu neu?

Neu 2007-10-10:

Gold ist jetzt risikolos:

Bob Moriarty: Risk Free Gold, Risk Free Gold, part 2

From the $252 low in gold in late August of 1999 until the 18th of September of 2007 there has been risk to owning gold. But when Ben S. Bernanke lowered the Federal Funds rate by a full 50 basis points to 4.75% on the 18th of September, he removed all risk to gold. Yes, gold will continue to correct now and again but in his panic, Bernanke showed the only real risk is to savers of dollars. The dollar is dead, long live gold.

As I said in my last piece released on Friday Oct 5th, the Bernanke panic of September 18th has made gold risk-free. And the world faces two systemic events at the same time. The implosion of 8,500 hedge funds with its associated $460 trillion derivative fraud along with an unprovoked nuclear attack on Iran planned by Israel 15 years ago and soon to be executed by the United States. Your world is fixing to change in ways we can only dream of in nightmares. It's a good time to own gold.

Mehr muss man dazu nicht sagen, als dass Ben Bernanke mit seiner Zinssenkung den Goldkauf risikolos gemacht hat.
Dass heisst, im Goldpreis wird es kaum mehr eine wesentliche Abwärtsbewegung geben, es geht primär aufwärts.

Der Mogambo Guru dazu: Gold Hoarding Greedy Pigs - BUY!

Neu 2007-10-09:

Gute Nachrichten von Harry Schultz:

MarketWatch: Golden years for Harry Schultz

And Schultz's focus on gold is right on the news. He writes: "With an election coming, the Fed went for bandaging a slipping economy which affects votes and sacrificing the dollar, which is harder for the public to measure. Big rate cuts, like this 50 points, are always an act of desperation. Such cuts have usually been followed by recessions. More cuts will follow. It set the future in cement for the U.S. dollar. Cement overshoes. Currency debasement never produces wealth. Fed knows this, but took a political decision. Nothing new about that. Much higher inflation now guaranteed ... My tentative targets (by end of 2008): 14% (inflation), $1,600 (gold) and $45 (silver)."

Elsewhere, Schultz writes: "Gold is starting into the most exciting part of its long-term bull market, the so-called second (and monetary) phase. Herein we normally see the biggest percentage gains, matched by biggest corrections as we saw in the '70s gold rush: in 1974, gold corrected 25% in 4months (most gold shares fell 50-70%); in 1975-76 gold fell 50% (most shares fell 70-90%) and took 21/2 years to get back to old high before then rocketing to new highs. But that makes for great trading opportunities. This is the phase where the BIG money is made, by those who go with the tides. In and out, in and out ..."

In contrast, Schultz only recommends 10%-15% exposure to non-gold stocks and his favorite sectors are oil and alternative energy, uranium and commodity shares.

$1600 Gold $45 Silber Ende 2008 - die "monetäre Phase", offenbar wenn das Geld die Sicherheit von Gold und Silber sucht.
Er empfiehlt fast alles in Goldminen zu investieren, den Rest ind Energie.
 

Der Kampf der Titanen um Gold $750:

Aus dem MIDAS vom 8. Okober:

What is of interest on this slow day was what the gold open interest did on Friday … UP 6827 contracts to 449,467, another all-time high. This means that there were buyers in size willing to take on The Gold Cartel when they sent the price in the dumpster It also shows us the intensity of the price managers. They don’t want gold to take out $750.

The gold chart is a strange one and clearly shows how strong support is around $726, basis spot, and how strong resistance is above the $743 mark. It is one heckuva tug of war….

Das ist kein Tug of War (Seilziehen), sondern eine brutale Schlacht an den Rohstoff-Börsen (Comex, LME). Das Gold-Kartell tut alles, um den Goldpreis nicht über %750 steigen zu lassen oder noch besser wieder unter $700 zu drücken. Was haben Bush/Cheney/Paulson ihnen angedroht?

Da kann man nur sagen Welcome to Gitmo, Gold Cartel!

Das ist der höchste Open Interest (Summer aller Futures) überhaupt. Aber die Gegenseite (Investoren) gibt nicht auf.

Neu 2007-10-05:

Attacke des Gold Kartells schiefgegangen:

Aus dem MIDAS vom 5. Okt. von Adrian Douglas:

Devastating Cartel Ambush!
In my commentary yesterday I pointed out that there were some signs that the gold market has been trading differently and suggested that big money is taking on the Cartel. I said "Today’s gold action was nothing short of spectacular. The first thing to note is that the Cartel got no follow through on a $17 down day! This is very unusual because there is typically a barrage of margin call selling for 2 days following a Cartel take-down. There was almost undoubtedly margin call selling which means that someone else was buying"

The Cartel must have read the Midas column last night and said "No follow through! We’ll give you freakin’ follow through" And so they showed up for duty this morning with big grins on their faces and they smacked gold down almost $9 on the COMEX, in action that had already commenced in Asia and London. The thugs soon had the little speculators lying on the floor in hand-cuffs while they fired Taser guns at them. Everything was going their way as usual. But they didn’t notice the big money creeping up on them with Bazookas! Remember Clint Eastwood in "Dirty Harry"…Go on Punk, make my day! And when the smoke cleared there was Bear carcass for as far as the eye could see! From the low to the high today there was a $17 move in gold…does that ring a bell?

The massive Call option positions belong to someone with some heavy artillery. There is now no doubt about it. Yesterday I closed my commentary with the following "The option market structure, the new trading patterns of the COMEX and the high short position of the commercials is a strong indication there could be a commercial signal failure in the offing as we had at the end of 2005/early 2006 instead of the familiar Cartel induced washout. This thesis is further supported by my Market Force Analysis technique which does not place gold and silver in a high risk zone, on the contrary they are low risk to neutral currently". It now looks as if the Commercial Signal failure is here and now.

Tomorrow it will be the turn of Cartel Groupies who went short yesterday and this morning to wake up to a margin call from their brokers. They only have tomorrow to cover because on Monday the Chinese are back from a week long holiday and they have 400 B$ in their newly formed diversification fund to spend!

Der Text ist zwar etwas kriegerisch. Das Kartell wollte offenbar in üblicher Weise die Fonds und Spekulanten an der Comex aus den Gold-Long Positionen vetreiben. Jedeoch dürfte das "Big Money" den Angriff vereitelt haben und der Goldpreis ist vom Tages-Low aus um $17 gestiegen. Die alten Methoden funktionieren nicht mehr so einfach.

Bill Murphy betitelt diesen Midas mit: One Of The Most EXTRAORDINARY Gold Days In A Decade

und er holt die Gold-Rakete hervor. Die Zeiten haben sich offenbar geändert.

Neu 2007-10-02:

Wieder etwas vom STALKER im Midas vom 1. Okt:

Our STALKER source called with two bits of input:
*The timer in London for the STALKER gold buying group is looking for gold to run into the $800's and has positioned, is positioning, his clients accordingly for the run. Says $700 is the absolute bottom from here on in.

*There is a SERIOUS rumor out there among the higher ups that the Japanese (a Japanese entity or even individual) is out there trying to rap up a $100 million physical market purchase of bullion.

Der Boden jetzt bei $700/oz? sehr wahrscheinlich, aber eine Kamikaze-Aktion der Zentralbanken ist nicht ausgeschlossen.

Aber wenn auch jetzt das "Big Money" so stark hineingeht....

Neu 2007-10-01:

Jetzt kommt das Gold sogar zum Volk:

Bild: Soll ich jetzt lieber in Gold investieren?

Goldene Zeiten brechen an. Die Kurse sind wie das gelbe Edelmetall selbst: einfach glänzend! An der Londoner Börse notiert der Goldkurs seit Tagen auf dem höchsten Niveau seit 1980. Experten rechnen damit, dass der Trend anhalten wird.

Der Artikel ist eher neutral, aber die Breitenwirkung dieses Blattes ist enorm - nicht zu unterschätzen.

Hier eher für die Eliten:

Telegraph: Dollar crunch puts gold centre stage

THE dominoes are toppling. What began as a credit crunch has turned into a dollar crunch. We are witnessing a run on the world's paramount reserve currency, an event that occurs twice a century or so, and never with a benign outcome. The US dollar has fallen through parity against the Canadian dollar and plummeted to all-time lows against a basket of currencies. This is dangerous. None of the mature economic blocs seems able to take the strain, let alone step in to restore order.

Is this what gold is sniffing as it breaks out against all currencies, smashing through €500 an ounce against the euro, and vaulting to a 28-year high of $743 against the dollar?

"Central banks have been forced to choose between global recession or sacrificing control of gold, and have chosen the perceived lesser of two evils," said Citigroup in a fresh report.

"We believe that the policy resolution to the credit crunch will take the form of a massive, extended 'Reflationary Rescue', in a new cycle of global credit creation and competititive currency devaluations. This could take gold to $1,000 an ounce, or higher."

Europe will not let America export its day of reckoning to the rest of the world. It will counter with its own devaluation.

Eigentlich könnte man diesen Artikel auch unter Dr. Gold einordnen, so prophetisch ist er. Offenbar mussten die Zentralbanken ihren Goldpreis-Drückung reduzieren, um die Banken retten zu können. Auch wenn Europa versucht, den Import von Amerikas Tag der Abrechnung mit eigener Abwertung zu verhindern, es wird nicht gelingen. Es wird einen eigenen Tag der Abrechung in Europa geben - wenn das gesamte Kartenhaus implodiert und der Goldpreis explodiert.

Mehr Argumente braucht man nicht, um den Wert von Goldbesitz auch im Euro-Raum zu bekräftigen.

Aber das "Volk" hat sich vom Gold verabschiedet:

Aus dem MIDAS vom 19. September (da war der Goldpreis bei $720):

According to Alexa.com, the hits on Kitco.com are less than 25% the daily web traffic at Kitco the last time gold was $720 which was in the spring of 2006.
And the hits on Kitco are 1/3 of the daily rate when gold was $425 which was at the beginning of 2004.
Hell, even gold-eagle.com has no traffic.

This is a completely stealth move with almost no retail attention which means it is being driven by powerful fundamentals and not speculative fervor.

When the upside break comes – and it may be here - we may be in for an absolute explosion in gold (and oil and interest rates.) as the retail sector runs into gold.

Die Preisdrückung seit Mai 2006 hat gewirkt - beim Volk - so funktioniert das "neue Goldverbot". Das Volk hat sich von diesem Thema verabschiedet, wie die oben angegebenen Hit-Counts an den Gold-Websites zeigen. Bei einem viel höheren Preis werden sie wohl wieder einsteigen - wie üblich. Die geboren Verlierer in jedem Bull-Market.

Neu 2007-09-19:

Haben die Spanier kein Gold mehr?

FT: Spanish gold move boost for bullion

The Bank of Spain, the largest seller of gold this year under the central banks’ gold agreement, plans no more significant sales of the precious metal in a move that is likely to fuel further the recent surge in prices.

People familiar with the pact said Spain’s central bank had already achieved the bulk of its planned bullion disposals.

Gestern wollten sie ihren Immobilienmarkt und ihre Banken noch mit aller Gewalt "gesundbeten". Wenn sie jetzt kaum mehr Gold verkaufen wollen, kann das entweder bedeuten, dass sie keines mehr haben, oder den Rest für noch schwierigere Zeiten erhalten wollen.

Ist auf jeden Fall positiv für einen steigenden Goldpreis.

Goldpreis - jetzt die längste Zeit über $700 - aus dem Midas vom 18. Sept:

Gold closed again above $700. This is 8 consecutive closes above $700. This is the highest EVER in history. In 1980 gold only had 5 CONSECUTIVE daily closes above $700. In 1980 there were only 8 closes in total above $700. We have now matched the most closes above $700 in any year in history…tomorrow that record will probably be broken.

The gold market is putting in a performance that is outstripping the performance of 1980. 1980 still holds the record for the highest gold price in history but that could well be broken very soon also!

Noch einmal positiv - so dass die Spekulanten im Westen das Gold endecken - die kaufen immer bei steigendem Preis.

Gold took off as soon as that news hit the tape, while the dollar took a justified hit. Just when you think the scenario for the price of gold to go to the moon can’t get any better, it does ..

U.S. GOLD FUTURES RISE TO 28-YEAR HIGH AT $733.40/OZ IN GLOBEX TRADE, EXCEED MAY 2006 PEAK AFTER FED CUT

Gold was last at $723.40, off of a $726.90 high.

Wow! noch besser. Leute, freut Euch, jetzt geht es richtig los!

Neu 2007-09-11:

Ein super-optimistischer Jim Sinclair:

A Shift Of Focus

I get the feeling that I have taken you here before and have told you all the whys. The top callers have not been a benefit to any of you except for an instant moment. I do not recall many of them ever calling a bottom/

Now that $715 gold is behind us it becomes support and $751 to $761 becomes the magnet.

You have no idea how fast gold can get into the $880 area. Last time we had lesser fundamental circumstances favoring gold and it ran up $400 in four weeks.

As I suggested to you the big, big shorts in gold shares are covering, but are not yet in the panic mode. That is coming.

The Empire is falling in the eyes of its common shareholders and its common share, the US dollar. The Fed has NO tools to fix this derivative meltdown so they play the role of the Financial Ostrich. Those that believe the credit crisis will pass and there is nothing to do in the meantime are morons that sing to the equity chorus.

Eventually the lockup of all definitions of credit will result in the greatest international expansion of liquidity, which is monetary inflation on a planetary basis. That has to be followed by a price inflation of a planetary nature regardless of slower business conditions. Why do you think Asia is locking up raw materials?

Protect yourself. Pay off all debts. Do not carry margin on anything.
Do this before you buy gold or derivative risk free precious and base metal shares.

Er kann die nahe Goldpreis-Explosion förmlich riechen, wie er es in den 1970er Jahren auch gerochen hat. Er sagt auch, dass diesesmal die Fundamentaldaten viel besser sind, weil die Kredit/Derivatenkrise nicht repariert werden kann (die Zentralbanken glauben es noch und überschütten den Planeten mit Geld). Trotzdem seine Warnung, alle Kredite loszuwerden, und erst dann in Gold/Silber und Minenaktien (unhedged) zu investieren.

Neu 2007-09-09:

James Turk im deutschen Mainstream:

Süddeutsche: Größte Finanzkrise seit Weimar

Der amerikanische Ökonom Turk prognostiziert den krisengeschütteltem Finanzmärkten ein jähes Ende - und rechnet mit der Rückkehr des Goldstandard.

Doch die wiederholten Geldspritzen der Währungshüter, die damit versuchen, die von Misstrauen geprägten Kreditmärkte am Laufen zu halten, lassen die Aussagen des Einwanderersohnes aus Ohio in anderem Licht erscheinen. "Die Zentralbanken werfen schlechtem Geld gutes in Massen hinterher. Das wird die Inflation anheizen und gefährdet das ohnehin fragile Finanzsystem aufs Äußerste", sagt Turk im Gespräch mit der Süddeutschen Zeitung.

Im Unterschied zu den meisten Schwarzsehern seiner Zunft hat er seine Sicht der Dinge nicht nur materiell, sondern auch rechtlich abgesichert: Turk hat sich ein eigenes Online-Geldsystem auf Edelmetallbasis namens "Goldmoney.com" patentieren lassen. Immerhin 30000 Anleger weltweit haben ihm nach seinen Angaben umgerechnet 200 Millionen Euro anvertraut, um damit in Turks "Goldwährung" bezahlen zu können.

Wenn sich die Süddeutsche Zeitung schon für den Gründer von Goldmoney.com interessiert...und sogar dessen Prognose publiziert...

Neu 2007-09-07:

Aus dem Midas vom 28. August:

What else is going to propel such surging buying interest in gold? Well, honestly, it has all been laid out in this column for weeks and months. The only difference is that we finally have manifestation.

What is paramount at the moment is the growing realization how really bad things are in the housing/mortgage market … that the problems are MASSIVE and will require money, money, and more money thrown at the financial markets. This accrues to gold any which way you look at it.

The LIBOR rate continues to rise in Europe because financial institutions are afraid to go elsewhere for funds. That is called fear of COUNTERPARTY risk … even various money market funds are suspect (see Kiki Table). Owners of physical gold do not have counterparty risk. Never has this special gold quality been of more paramount importance.

Das kann man nicht fett genug darstellen: Gold hat kein Counterparty-Risiko, d.h. es ist keine Institution dahinter, die pleite gehen kann.
Das ist in Zeiten wie diesen, wo das Bankensystem im Untergang ist, nicht hoch genug zu bewerten. Daher steigt auch wieder der Goldpreis.

Gold was stopped right below $700 per ounce, which is par for the course and to be expected. However, it would appear this is the BEGINNING of the monster move many of us in the GATA camp have been looking for. It is my opinion gold is headed for $3,000 to $5,000 per ounce. To get there we have to start somewhere. Might as well be now. While it might be hard for some to fathom, moves like today will be commonplace in the near future. Actually, a day like this will be a subdued one. As a veteran futures market trader, mark my words on that one.

Ja, irgendwo muss der grosse Preisanstieg ja beginnen. Nach Bill Murphy wird der Goldpreis auf $3000..5000/oz steigen, wenn die Manipulation weg ist.

The housing/mortgage mess is only beginning to show its colors and have an impact on the US economy. The probability of a financial market derivatives nightmare is growing by the day, and so on. This big picture ought to trump the micro news of the day. The US consumer, still lulled to sleep by the PPT and Gold Cartel, won’t know what hit them. FEAR has not kicked in YET as many continue to go on their merry way. It won’t be pretty when they WAKE UP.

Die Leute (auch die meisten Banker) wissen noch nichts von diesem Counter-Party-Risiko - bis deren Ersparnisse weg sind. Dann wird die richtige ANGST einsetzen und der Goldpreis wird wirkliche Flügel bekommen, besser es wird eine Rakete unter ihm zünden.

Neu 2007-08-28:

Aus dem Midas vom 27. August:

Dubai gold sales rise 33% in July despite high prices

Reuters
Published: August 26, 2007, 00:01

Dubai: Dubai gold sales rose 33 per cent in value in July compared with the year-ago period despite higher prices as buyers grew accustomed to the greater costs, an industry executive said on Saturday.

"The prices remain very good for the customers and we are attracting new buyers every day," Tawhid Abdullah, managing director of the Dubai Gold and Jewellery Group, said.

"I think we will be able to match the 33 per cent increase we saw in July this month."

-END-

To sum it up, The Gold Cartel is making sure the price does not rise, thus eliciting more and more commentary how it has lost status as a safe haven, which is one of the motives of The Gold Cartel for doing what they do in the first place. Unsuspecting investors in the West lose heart and back away. Meanwhile, the Arabs, Indians, etc., are ecstatic to buy gold on the cheap and view the western central bankers as a bunch of ignoramuses. Throw the US financial market press in that camp too.

Die Araber und Andere kaufen alles auf, was es gibt. Nur wir hier im Westen werden durch das Goldkartell mit seinen Medien-Manipulationen davon abgebracht.

Was sich bei Gold-Optionen abspielt (Silber ist ähnlich):

Gold option news:

I have been studying the gold options. It looks like we have some big action brewing.

In the October contract the largest PUT Open Interest is 5016 at strike $650. The largest CALL OI is 6696 at Strike $700.

Looking at December contract the largest PUT Open Interest is 10060 at strike $600. The largest CALL OI is 19679 at Strike $800.

There are also CALL OI of 18598 @ $700, 11285 @ $850, 3935 @ $900 and 7161 @ $1000

It is absolutely stunning that the CALL Open interest in December Strike $1000 exceeds the OI in October Strike $700. It is also very significant that the largest position is $140 higher than the price today.

It is not Joe & Jane six-pack who buy gold options. This is a way for serious money to get a big position in gold without blowing the roof off the price when they purchase. If the price moves into the strike price the options can be exercised for futures contracts or gold bullion.

Da gehen einige Leute ganz schön in die Gold-Calls, die erwarten einen Preis-Sprung. Das ist sicher nicht "Joe Sixpack" - der braucht nur sein Bier.

Neu 2007-08-25:

Reduziert Goldman Sachs seine Gold-Shorts um nicht überrollt zu werden?

Aus dem Midas vom 24. August:

Even the COMEX-COT report released at 3:30 NY time this afternoon was very friendly, all the way around...

In gold:

*The large specs decreased longs by 16,400 contracts and increased shorts by 8,881 contracts.

*The commercials increased longs by 10,667 contracts and decreased shorts by 23,233 contracts.

*The small specs decreased longs by 5,161 contracts and increased shorts by 3,458 contracts.

In silver:

*The large specs decreased longs by 3,596 contracts and increased shorts by 3,553 contracts.

*The commercials increased longs by 1,446 contracts and decreased shorts by 9,564 contracts.

*The small specs decreased longs by 3,335 contracts and increased shorts by 526 contracts.

Die "Commercials" (Teile davon sind das Gold-Kartell), haben ihre Shorts massiv reduziert und sind "long" gegangen. Die Spekulanten (large = Fonds) werden beim Preis-Anstieg wieder einmal unter die Räder kommen, da sie "short" gegangen sind.

I almost fell off my chair when I checked the TOCOM data today. Goldman Sachs covered an absolutely astonishing 3,184 short contracts bringing their net short position to 11,358 contracts. This is another record low net short since I have been keeping records (January 2006). We have seen massive contractions in their net short positions before but ONLY when the gold price was plummeting. The ONLY time we have seen a large contraction when the POG was trading sideways was just before the BIG gold price move in 2006.

A reader today asked me if this is just GS re-loading their ammo for another blitz on gold. I think that is highly unlikely because the signature is so different (see the chart). They have also broken below their declining trend in short position and the end of the chart looks like a heart rate monitor when the patient just died.

This is NOT business as usual. The monetary system is falling apart. Once the jig is up self-preservation becomes more important than going down with the ship for a war that can’t be won....

Goldman Sachs is the ringleader of the gold price suppression scheme. Over the years they have made a fortune by borrowing gold at cheap central bank rates and using their funds in various ways as part of a carry trade. They have made a fortune flushing out the funds time and time again, covering their shorts as the funds pitched their longs. They have been hurt from time to time, like after Gold Rush 21 when gold rallied $300 per ounce, but on balance they have done very well. AND, as a reward for their role in the price suppression scheme, they have been privy to inside information from the government. How much money do you think they made in other financial markets with former CEOs Robert Rubin and Hank Paulson as Treasury Secretaries, much less by so many other former employees in key government positions?

Goldman Sachs also has to know what GATA knows and that is there is only so much available central bank gold left to meet growing demand for gold. They know at some point the price has to explode to ration the dwindling supply … even mine supply is on the wane. Thus, it would appear they have been patiently getting out (no better traders around in general) in anticipation of a huge rally in the coming many months.

Time will tell but as mentioned often here, the reasons for the price of gold to explode are off the charts. It is only a matter of time. Goldman knows it. We know it. My guess is that time is close at hand.

Im Gegensatz zur COMEX kann man an der TOCOM in Tokio das Verhalten der einzelen Players beobachten. GATA überwacht daher die Aktionen von Goldmand Sachs, der cleversten Ratte im Gold-Kartell. Und siehe da, GS hat den grössten Teil seiner Gold-Shorts abgebaut und macht in rasender Geschwindigkeit weiter.

Erwartet GS einen massiven Goldpreis-Ausbruch? Vermutlich ja, da wollen sie nicht Short sein.

Neu 2007-08-24:

Kaufen die Chinesen jetzt massiv Gold?

Aus dem Midas vom 23.August:

A senior executive at a Turkish jewelry company has told the Turkish press that China has stated it will buy 2,500 tons of gold. "Gold as Jewelry's General Manager, Sedat Yalinkaya evaluated the increase in gold prices yesterday. If China realizes its claim that it will buy 2,500 tons of gold, he said…This amount equals a total annual gold production and consumption in the whole world."* I cannot find anything in the press to corroborate the statement that China intends to buy 2,500 tons of gold, but it may have been communicated privately.

It is interesting that a Turkish source is making this assertion, as that country is an increasingly important hub in world gold trade. "Turkey climbed up to third place among global gold markets in the second quarter of 2007 by surpassing the US for the first time, said World Gold Council Turkey General Manager Murat Akman in a written statement yesterday…Gold demand in the second quarter increased by 37 percent…Major increases occurred in key gold markets such as China, India, Middle East and Turkey."

Turkish Weekly: China's Demand Determines Gold Prices

2500 Tonnen - das ist eine Jahresproduktion und wird den Goldpreis massiv hoch treiben.

Neu 2007-08-16:

Die Gold/Silber-Lease-Rates steigen:

Besonders die längerfristigen, siehe Goldseiten rechts unten.

Das heisst, es wird teurer Gold und Silber gegen "Zinsen" auszuborgen. Die Lease-Rates sind aber immer noch sehr niedrig.
Bevor Gold/Silber wirklich massiv ausbrechen, werden diese Raten hochspringen.

Leserzuschrift - eine von mehreren:

Gold verliert 3% , Silber 10% ! Wie ist so etwas möglich, als sicherer Hafen?

Wie immer bei Aktien-Abverkäufen werden auch Futures verschiedenster Art abverkauft. Heute ist der Abverkauf besonders wild, da auch der Yield-Carry-Trade aus dem Yen umkippt.

Diese Situation nützt das Goldkartell (Zentralbanken + Goldman Sachs) um den Goldpreis noch weiter zu drücken. Denn schliesslich will man keine Flucht-Konkurrenz zu den Staatsanleihen aufkommen lassen, die die Basis der Währungen sind. Die Spekulanten lassen sich so immer wieder heraustreiben.

Ich habe bereits mehrfach dargelegt, dass es möglich sein dürfte, den Goldpreis in einer "Kamikaze-Aktion" auch noch auf $500/oz zu drücken - kurzzeitig.
Nicht verunsichern lassen! Auch die Staatsanleihen dürften bald von Misstrauen angesteckt werden - dann hebt Gold ab!

Neu 2007-08-02:

Die einen kaufen, die anderen verkaufen ihr Gold:

Aus dem Midas vom 1. August:

Meanwhile, as the dummy central bankers give away gold at bargain basement prices to protect their own domains, the Arabs, Chinese, Indians, etc., are scooping up all they can. This report is nothing less than extraordinary:

UPDATE 1-Turkey's gold imports quadruple in July:
LONDON, Aug 1 (Reuters) - Gold bullion imports to Turkey, one of the world's top consumers of the metal, jumped by 328 percent year-on-year in July to 45.7 tonnes, the highest ever recorded in a month.

Gold imports surged by 42.5 percent in the first seven months of the year to 150.5 tonnes, data from the Istanbul Gold Exchange showed on Wednesday.

Gold prices hovering around $660 an ounce, the wedding season fuelling physical demand for bullion and dollar weakness against the Turkish lira prompted investors to buy more gold.

"Because of the relatively lower gold price there's an incredible amount of physical buying," dealer Gokhan Aksu at Turkish jeweller Goldas.

Viel von dem in die Türkei importierten Gold geht weiter in die Nachbarstaaten. Aber eine Steigerung um 328% in einem Jahr bedeutet, dass in der Region eine richtige Absicherungswelle eingesetzt haben muss.

Aber nicht nur dort: auch von deutschen Händlern habe ich erfahren, dass sie tonnenweise Gold im Monat verkaufen, und oft eine 1 Tonne Silber pro Tag - pro Händler natürlich. Es scheint, das Big Money riecht auch bei uns schön langsam die Lunte.

European central banks could sell 500 mt of gold: UBS

New York (Platts)--1Aug2007/1217 pm EDT/1617 GMT
There is a strong possibility that gold sales by the European Central Banks, signators of the Central Bank Gold Agreement that expires September 30, would reach the 500 mt ceiling this year, according to UBS Metals Daily. This
would exceed by a wide margin the 392.5 mt sold during the life of the previous agreement.

UBS said this "seems inevitable, based on the rate of recent sales announced by the ECB on behalf of Eurosystem members and some assumptions about Swiss National Bank sales."

UBS noted that in the week to July 27 Eurosystem banks sold about 12.8 mt of gold, based on figures released by the ECB. Also, the Swiss National Bank sold 14 mt of gold in the two weeks following the announcement that they plan to sell 250 mt over the remaining term of the CBGA.

"Although we calculate that sales in the year to date -- which runs to September 26 -- have totalled only about 385 mt, we calculate that the recent rate of sales would see the 500 mt ceiling hit sometime before the end of September," said UBS.

"Linear projections are crude, however, and we could see a sudden slowing of sales. But we believe this is unlikely.

"We are unsure which banks are responsible for the recent increase in ECB reported sales but will look at Spain's monthly reserve release closely when it is released in the next few days."
--Ovid Abrams

Diese Idioten von Europäischen Zentralbankern wollen ihre Quote dieses Jahr voll auschöpfen und sogar noch drüber gehen.
So wird mit dem Gold auch die Macht aus dem Westen und Europa weg und in den Osten ziehen.

What does it really mean? Not much in my book. The Gold Cartel has been quietly feeding MUCH more gold than that over the past decade. And Rob Kirby notes:

Bill;
Having written a fair bit about Italy and their 400 tonne gold bullion loan to LTCM – my best guess is that this move [to sell bullion to "pay down debt"] could very well be an attempt at making a public accounting for the "missing" bullion – the very same gold bullion that the Bank of Italy loaned – and never publicly acknowledged – to LTCM.

The bullion that was loaned – as is generally the case with gold loans, swaps and forward sales – is NOT going to be returned to the Central Bank vault where it came from in the first place.

If my guess is correct – this is actually a good thing for GOLD. It means "the" or "an" end of gold price suppression may be closer than many realize. If the Italians are trying to "sanitize" the "look" of their books – that tells me they are VERY concerned about being ‘found out’ for what they have most likely REALLY DONE.

Rob Kirby meint, dass die angekündigten italienischen Verkäufe eigentlich eine formale Abschreibung des mit LTCM verloren Goldes darstellen - so dass man später nicht merkt, dass es verloren wurde. Offenbar fürchten sie, dass man bald die Wahrheit herausfindet.

Neu 2007-07-30:

Eine weitere Gold/Silber-Prognose:

David Morgan: RICH INVESTOR, POOR INVESTOR

Mr. Maloney’s mission has been to introduce real estate investors to an extremely undervalued asset sector, the precious metals. It is Mr. Maloney’s belief that all things run in cycles and everything repeats. He believes that the bear market in precious metals, which ended in 2001, took gold and silver into such undervalued extremes, that even at today’s prices, gold and silver are still an incredible bargain.

He also claims that the new bull market in the metals has just barely begun and that this new bull will take the precious metals to price levels considered unimaginable by most. Mr. Maloney estimated a price target of $6,000.00 for both gold AND silver . . . and he follows that statement up with “and that’s only IF the dollar survives, and history gives that a very low probability.” When you consider the amount of paper currency that the governments of the world have printed since the last precious metals bull ended in 1980, could Mike Maloney possibly be right?

$6000/oz für Gold UND Silber. Das wäre ein Verhältnis von 1:1. Dieser Preis aber auch nur, falls dem US-Dollar nichts passiert, was aber nicht der Fall sein wird.

Es ist auch ein interesanter Chart: US-Immobilien in Silber enthalten.
PS: Robert Kiyosaki schreibt selbst, dass er Gold und Silber stapelt.

Die "Todessterne" des Goldkartells:

Deepcaster: GOLDEN PROFITS FROM THE GREAT CONTEST

So will The Cartel be forced to retreat in face of the shrieking fundamentals which impel Gold to move higher? Consider one very recently published view of The Cartel’s situation:

“And then there are all those Death-Stars looming over The Cartel’s collective heads like omens of doom: The Subprime Derivatives Death-Star, the Real Estate Market Collapse Death-Star, the Adjustable Mortgage Reset Death-Star, the ABS/CDO Revaluation/Downgrading Death-Star, the Carry Trade Unwinding Death-Star, the Rising Bond Rate Death-Star, the Risk Reassessment Death-Star, the Diversification Out of the Dollar Death-Star, the Iran Nuclear Issue Death-Star, the Nuclear Terrorist Death-Star, the Middle East War/Skyrocketing Oil Death-Star, the Central Bank Gold Depletion Death-Star and the Collapsing Dollar Death-Star.

Das sind viele Feinde des Goldkartells. Zu viele, um die Preisdrückungen ewig durchzuhalten.
Aber wie bereits Robert Rubon vor 10 Jahren gesagt hat (Seite System-manipulationen, Eintrag vom 27. Juli) versucht man immer nur Zeit zu gewinnen, egal wie teuer es ist. So ist es auch hier.

Neu 2007-07-24:

Auszüge aus dem Midas vom 23. Juli:

On June 18 the US Dollar Index stood at just over 83. Today it hovers just above 80. What I find extraordinary is that the dollar hasn’t yet been able to mount a single significant rally in four weeks, even as it has broken through prior support. So far this latest 3 point drop has not been notable for its magnitude compared to other plunges, like the one in 2004 which sliced 10 points off the index, or the Spring ’06 fall that took off 6.5 points. The big question, though, has got to be; will the greenback rally? If it doesn’t are we poised on the brink of a major currency crisis?

If there is a dollar-centric currency crisis coming, where will the hot money go? The Euro is the obvious short-term beneficiary. However, even today, its level is elevated enough to prompt open dissension between Germany/the ECB and France over interest rates. A sharply higher Euro would likely precipitate severe downturns in the economies of France, Italy and Spain, among others. The currency might well splinter into its component parts in such a situation. All of this hardly makes the Euro a safe store of value in a crisis.

In the meantime, the Administration and the Fed must truly be desperate to garner support for the dollar if they are resorting to begging the Chinese Government to buy up Ginnie Mae mortgages*. By attempting to palm off impaired securities on an essential commercial partner and rival superpower, the U.S. is making clear that it will risk huge stakes to buy time for the status quo.

This crazy gambit reminds me of the actions of the patrician one-time New York Stock Exchange President Richard Whitney, as he tried to maintain his position in the 1930s. As John Brooks described it, "Whitney, fighting for his life and perhaps for his way of life, indulged in one last binge of cash-raising efforts… walking up to men he didn’t know on the Exchange Floor and asking them in tones casual to the point of indifference to lend him his standard sum — $100,000. He also did one thing suggesting that madness or something like it was overtaking him at last. He went to Ben Smith (an Irishman who had worked his way up from the streets, my add) and… announced brusquely that he ‘wanted to get this over quickly’–as if, say, his mission were to administer a justified rebuke to an inferior. Then he said he wanted to borrow $250,000 ‘on my face.’ …‘I remarked he was putting a pretty high value on his face,’ Smith recounted later…‘I told him he had a lot of nerve to ask me for $250,000 when he didn’t even bid me the time of day."**

I have to imagine that the Chinese told the Secretary of the US Department of Housing and Urban Development that he was putting a pretty high value on the guarantee of the U.S. Government, too. Oh yes, after a sensational trial, Richard Whitney was convicted of embezzling his clients’ assets.

While we're on the topic, the definition of embezzle is: "appropriate (as property entrusted to one's care) fraudulently to one's own use." Does that remind anyone of what has happened to the purchasing power of the American People's savings?

Finally, I continue to read predictions that if there is a collapse on Wall Street it will drag gold and gold mining stocks down with it, I think this line of reasoning is too dependent on market history and ignores current reality. Over the past century, Wall Street plunges invariably resulted in a flight to the safety of U.S. Government debt instruments. IF the next crash, whenever it may come, results from a flight out of the dollar, then this escape route will be a dead end. Rather, the odds are that a currency-inspired plunge will be accompanied by a soaring price of gold. If gold’s price goes up, so should mining stocks as people try to shelter their remaining assets.

Precious metals is not a particularly large, or liquid, corner of the market. There are few seats available to accommodate any sizable number of investors should they abruptly decide to redeploy their funds into pms. Any selling that is caused by margin calls should quickly be overwhelmed as new buyers enter the market. Instead of seeing the sector collapse, we may well have to start adding zeros to the prices of gold, silver and mining shares.

Sehr guter Beitrag. Wohin soll das Geld bei einer Dollar-Krise gehen? Der Euro ist keine sichere Aufbewahrung dafür.
Falls der nächste Crash eine Flucht aus dem Dollar auslöst (wird wahrscheinlich passieren), dann können US-Treasuries nicht die Rettung sein, noch eine andere Währung. Daher wird der Goldpreis mit den Minenaktien steigen.

Genau meine Argumentations-Linie.

Neu 2007-07-20:

Der Goldpreis-Ausbruch auf $684/oz:

Jordan Roy-Byrne: The Next Phase Has Begun

Diesesmal veröffentliche ich eine technische Anlayse. Sollte dieser Markt wieder "frei" werden, dann kann man diese anwenden.

Nach Meinung des Autors sollte jetzt der Eilliott-Wave Phase 3 beginnen, wo die wirklich grossen Preissteigerungen beginnen. Grund: das Big Money geht in Gold.

Neu 2007-07-07:

Aus dem MIDAS vom 7. Juli:

In Hulbert’s latest sentiment index (Discouragement in the pits) the gold timing newsletter writers are recommending on average 0% exposure to gold. This is down from 64.3% a month ago. Hulbert does say this is bullish but not mega-bullish because he says the index has been much lower before, registering as low as minus 31.3% (newsletters recommending to be short gold is what a minus reading means).

I have a different interpretation. Hulbert looks only at the reading of his index. He does not relate it to what is happening in gold. Gold has risen $90/oz off its October lows, yet gold timing newsletters are recommending no exposure. I don’t remember a time in this bull market where gold had rallied so much and the sentiment index was as low as zero. When gold has plummeted it is understandable that the index shows a minus reading and that is mega-bullish, but I would say when gold has rallied this much and the index is zero, meaning that no one is recommending exposure to gold, it is mega-bullish! When you also consider that in just one month the exposure recommended by these writers has dropped from 64% to 0% I think it adds even more strength to the bullish case.

From my work gold is about to make its biggest move of the bull market to-date and the gold timing newsletters do not have their readers invested! That is very bullish and is, as it always is, that most small investors miss the really big pay days.

Werde da noch jemand aus diesen technischen Newsletters schlau. Die empehlen 0% Investment in Gold, wenn der grösste Ausbruch aller Zeiten bevorsteht. Die Charttechnik taugt einfach nicht für solche manipulierte Märkte.

Das machen die "echten" Investoren (die mit dem grossen Geld), aus dem selben MIDAS:

Our STALKER source called for the second day in a row with more valuable input. Here it is:

*This STALKER group consists of two big players (thought to be Asian Governments, such as the Chinese) and three smaller players (multi-national corporations, perhaps an oil company). Two smaller players are joining this group.

*They have kept their core position in gold since all of this was brought to your attention years ago.

*However, except for smaller trades here and there, they have basically been out of their trading positions for 18 months, UNTIL YESTERDAY. They have a timing consultant in London, used as an advisor, which puts them in and out of trading positions.

*Their trigger point was $646 and in that area. They bought yesterday, which could be why gold bounced off $645, and also TODAY, which could be why gold turned around with a vengeance. Some huge buyers surfaced the past two days based on the volume, and now we think we know who they are. Bad news for The Gold Cartel who are doing all they can to keep gold suppressed.

*They are going to hold onto their trading gold position until gold takes out $700 and then they will evaluate from there.

*In the past they have made 20% on their physical trading operations. Of course they have cleaned up with their core positions also.

*The believe the dollar will to take out 80 and is one of the considerations for putting on their new gold positions.

*This STALKER group also has been buying silver the past two days. While our source emanates from Phoenix, he tells us the same story as the London silver dealer STALKER source … there is a major physical shortage of silver that will be felt in the months to come. These new strong hand buyers believe the price of silver is going MUCH higher and now is the time to buy.

Disgusted as I am because of what I see on a daily basis, I can’t but feel gold and silver are going to go bonkers in the near future. The Gold Cartel is capping a pressure cooker, one which is very likely to exert so much pressure the lid is going to be blown off the cooker.

Offenbar sind asiatische Zentralbanken dabei und Firmen, die steigen jetzt wieder verstärkt in das Gold ein, haben aber ihre Core-Position nie aufgegeben. Und bei Silber gibt es (in London) eine extreme Knappheit.

Kupfer soll auch bald massiv ausbrechen, da es kaum mehr Lagerbestände gibt und Streiks bei Kupferminen in Lateinamerika laufen.

Die Goldminen steigen wieder (selber Midas):

After about 15 months of watching our precious metals stocks drastically underperforming the actual metals, there was a significant event yesterday that indicates the stocks are once again about to take the lead. The ratio of the HUI to the price of gold finally broke out of its long, grinding downtrend.

Just thought your readers might want to know that if they've been waiting for the "right" moment to buy back in, now would seem about as good a time as any. I believe the train has left the station, but it's not too late to make a run for it and jump aboard the caboose. We have a 10% day coming up very soon.

How typical is it that the HUI is roaring when so many investors have taken their money off the table and so many market pundits are neutral, bearish, and have their clients out of the market!

For whatever reason it lends more credence to my notion that gold and silver are very close to some serious upside fireworks action. It just could be that the insider gold/silver crooks know what is coming down the pike, something which will send the prices of gold and silver to new multi-decade highs in the near future, resulting in gold/silver share MANIA buying. Even The Gold Cartel crowd playing with the shares, do not want to stand in the way of a coming freight train.

Was haben wir den da? Die Gold/Silberminen-Aktien steigen wieder. Wie heisst es doch: Goldstocks lead Gold. Also die Minenaktien steigen/fallen VOR dem Metall.

Das Kursfeuerwerk bei Gold, Silber und Minenaktien ist wirklich sehr nah. Aber es wird vermutlich gemeinsam mit einem Kollaps des Finanzsystems kommen (siehe Hedge-Fond-Krise).

Neu 2007-07-06:

Reale Inflation und Goldpreis:

Für den US-Dollar aus der amtlichen US-Inflationsstatistik (blaue Linie) und den Shadow Statistics von John Williams:

Der Goldpreis von $850/oz Anfang 1980 würde heute ungefähr $5000 (reale Inflationsberechnung) entsprechen. Der derzeitige Goldpüreis von $650 ist absolut minimal. Die Inflations-Bedingungen sind aber ähnlich wie in den 1970er Jahren. Diesesmal kann das System nicht gerettet werden, daher wird der Goldpreis weit über $5000 gehen. In Europa ist die Situation ähnlich.

Neu 2007-07-03:

Aus dem Midas vom 2. Juni:

It is truly remarkable to me how little patience the average investor has, unwillingness to do their own homework, and how easily they exit from a bull market … in this case one that will be one of the grandest of all time. Their loss, our gain.
Resistance taken out at $655 was significant.

Ja, die Geduld der Investoren im Westen scheint sehr limitiert zu sein, sehr verschieden zum Orient:

Turkish gold imports for June, posted today on the Istanbul Gold Exchange, were dramatic. At 30.766 tonnes, they were the 4th highest in the 11 years of data the Exchange provides, 178.4% above June last year and 25.1% ahead of May. According to the Exchange, weighted average $US prices were 10.3% above June 2006 and only 1.6% below those of May. Imports for 2007 to date of 104.776 tonnes are 10.4% ahead of last year.

Since much gold entering Turkey is thought to be transshipped on to Iran, Iraq, and Syria over the eastern and southern border, the obvious explanation for this growth is that geopolitical fears in these countries are rising. In any case, the peak demand months for Turkey are usually July and August, a fact to be set against the widespread discussions of seasonal weakness. The stopping of two rally attempts in NY hours on Friday involved a fairly important effort, (especially as some short covering was likely). On volume equal to 15,808 Comex lots Chicago added 298 Comex lots, while NY, on 51,911 contracts added, as usual, a more significant 2,162 lots. Net, therefore, US futures added 7.65 tonnes on what ended as an up 50c day.

Die schlagen richtig zu. 174% mehr als im Juni 2006 gingen über die Türkei!

Alte Einträge sind hier.